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Bitcoin, Crypto Rebound After Israel-Iran Crisis Spurs Market Jitters
HomeNews* Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies recovered after a recent drop triggered by geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran.
Market attention is now focused on upcoming testimony from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell in Washington. “Aside from any geopolitical updates, today’s key event will be Fed chair Jerome Powell’s testimony in Washington,” said David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation. Experts are also looking for signals from the Fed’s preferred inflation metric, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, due later in the week.
Some traders believe a dovish approach from the central bank, which means favoring lower interest rates, or a reduction in global tensions could drive increased interest in cryptocurrencies. Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, stated via email, “The most bullish scenario would be confirmation of a Fed dovish policy pivot or a major de-escalation in global trade and geopolitical tensions, either of which could spark renewed interest in risk assets and push bitcoin towards retesting its all-time high.”
The possibility of interest rate cuts in July has gained traction among investors. According to the CME FedWatch tracker, the likelihood of a rate cut in July rose to 22%, up from 10% last week. Some on social media predict that such a move could cause trillions of dollars to enter crypto markets.
Federal Reserve vice chair for supervision Michelle Bowman, Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee, and Fed governor Christopher Waller all signaled it might be time to consider lowering rates. Bowman told a gathering in Prague, “It is time to consider adjusting the policy rate.” Goolsbee commented that Trump’s trade tariffs have not had the feared impact. Waller told CNBC, “If you’re starting to worry about the downside risk [to the] labor market, move now, don’t wait.”
Jerome Powell has cited inflation concerns due to the prospect of trade tariffs as a reason for a cautious approach to changing rates. However, Waller noted that the expected inflation risk from tariffs might not justify holding off on rate cuts.
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