XRP ETF Could Be Approved as Early as October – Analysts Expect Institutional Inflows

Expectations around a spot XRP ETF are growing. According to well-known ETF analyst Nate Geraci, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could give the green light within the next 60 days, meaning by October 2025 at the latest. Such a decision, he believes, could open the door to massive institutional capital flowing into XRP.

Geraci: XRP ETF Is Within Reach Nate Geraci, president of The ETF Store, wrote on X that the upcoming two months will be decisive for crypto ETFs. He argued that the approval of a spot XRP ETF has a strong chance of success. Similar developments could also be expected for other altcoin products such as Litecoin and Solana ETFs. Geraci also highlighted that staking for existing spot Ethereum ETFs could be approved “literally any day,” giving investors a new way to generate yield.

SEC Delays Its Verdict, October Will Be Crucial The SEC recently announced that it needs more time to evaluate five different spot XRP ETF proposals. Applications have been submitted by Bitwise, CoinShares, Canary Capital, Grayscale, and 21Shares. 🔹 For the 21Shares Core XRP Trust, the SEC extended its deadline from August 20 to October 19, 2025.

🔹 Grayscale’s attempt to convert its existing XRP Trust into a spot ETF now faces a deadline of October 18, 2025. These postponements effectively make October a decisive month for the future of XRP-linked ETFs.

Institutional Access and Rising Demand If approved, the ETF would provide institutional investors with a regulated vehicle to gain exposure to XRP – something many large players prefer. This could significantly boost liquidity and demand.

The CLARITY Act as a Potential Game-Changer A major factor in this outlook could be the CLARITY Act, which has already passed the U.S. House of Representatives and now awaits Senate consideration. The bill would establish clear rules for digital assets, define the roles of both the CFTC and the SEC, and introduce a new category of “investment contract assets.” This would mean a token could initially be classified as a security but later, once sufficiently decentralized, reclassified as a commodity. For projects like Ripple, this clarity could reduce regulatory uncertainty and speed up the adoption of spot ETFs.

What Will October 2025 Bring? Geraci concluded that the remainder of 2025 will be “very wild” as regulatory approvals and ETF launches converge. Crypto lawyer Bill Morgan, a strong XRP advocate, agrees and notes that October will also be crucial for Ripple’s pending U.S. national banking license application. All signs point to this fall potentially becoming a historic milestone for XRP.

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