Litecoin ( LTC ) weekly rise 24% breaks key resistance long positions aim for 125 USD may challenge 262 USD high in 2025

Litecoin ( LTC ) has recently rebounded strongly, currently priced at 116 USD, with a seven-day rise of 24%, peaking at 119.21 USD. On-chain volume surged by 1.3% to 1.27 billion USD, indicating accelerated capital entry. Analysts confirm that LTC has broken through key resistance and filled the fair value gap, with a short-term target of 125 USD, and a breakout could open up the 140 USD channel. Market sentiment has significantly turned bullish, with the Fear and Greed Index reaching 74 (in the greed range), and 19 out of 30 days in the last month closing up. Medium to long-term technical models suggest a potential challenge of 262 USD in 2025, and even a historical high of 413 USD.

Price Breakthrough and Momentum Accumulation

• Current Price: $116 (at the time of writing)
• Weekly Peak: $119.21 (24% weekly rise)
• Volume: $1.27 billion (daily increase of 1.3%)
• Key Breakthrough: Confirmed overcoming technical resistance levels, filling the "fair value gap" (FVG)

Technical Objective: Multi-Level Upward Channel

1. Short-term target: $120-$125 range (breakthrough confirmation point)
2. Medium-term target: $140 (needs to stabilize above $125)
3. Bull Market Path: After hitting a high of $140, it pulled back to the support at $94, gathering strength to challenge the previous high.
4. Long-term Target:

   • Target for 2025 $262 (126% rise from the current price)

     

   • Historical high $413 (potential 256% rise)

     

Market Sentiment and On-Chain Signals

• Fear and Greed Index: 74 (Entering Greed Zone)
• Recent Performance: 19 out of 30 trading days closed with a rise (63% win rate)
• Volatility Characteristics: Monthly volatility of 11% (showing a step-wise non-linear ascent)
• Platform Prediction: CoinCodex predicts it will rise to $134 (+15%) before August 22, 2025.

Key Observations and Risk Alerts

• Breakthrough Verification: $125 is the critical point for bulls and bears; if it stabilizes, the $140 channel will open.

• Social Heat: Community discussion volume rises in sync with exchange activity.

• Macroeconomic Risks: Interest rate policies/inflation data/regulatory changes may still trigger volatility.

• Resilience Verification: LTC has outperformed most altcoins this month.

  

Operational Strategy Reference

• Breakout to Buy More: If the daily close is above $125, you can position accordingly.
• Retracement Support: A new defense zone has formed in the $110-$112 range
• Medium-term layout: If it stabilizes around $94 on the pullback, it will form a long-term buying point.
• Risk Management: Volatility remains high, single position suggested to be <5% of total funds

Conclusion: Litecoin has regained market attention with a weekly rise of 24% and a simultaneous increase in volume and price. In the short term, it needs to break through the key resistance at $125 to confirm the upward potential extending to $140, while the support level at $110 serves as the defensive baseline for bulls. The medium to long-term technical model gives an optimistic expectation of $262 in 2025, but caution is advised regarding the pullback risks triggered by macro policy shifts. Investors can adopt a two-step strategy: 1) increase positions on the breakout at $125; 2) if it stabilizes near $94 on a pullback, consider long-term positioning. Notably, LTC has recorded stability with 63% of trading days showing gains over the last 30 days, combined with a greed index of 74 reflecting market sentiment, indicating that funds are systematically flowing back into this asset.