The focus of the second half of July is the result of the tariff negotiations: observe whether the market is "Favourable Information realization" or continues to rise.
US Stock Earnings Season: If tech stocks perform poorly, it may weigh on the crypto market. BTC ETF Fund Flow: Recently, the inflow of funds has slowed down, and if it continues to decrease, it may impact the upward momentum.
The market is currently in a high-level consolidation phase, and short-term news may intensify fluctuations, but the trend is not yet clear. Patiently waiting for opportunities is more prudent than blindly

A sudden transfer of 80,000 BTC from a Bitcoin address that has been silent for 14 years by a Whale has sparked market speculation. Such a level of Whale activity is often not just a simple buy or sell, but may involve institutional operations, such as OTC trading, collateralized lending, or even tax arrangements.
After a Whale transfers a large amount of coins, the market often does not rise immediately; instead, it may enter a period of consolidation or correction. For example, in November 2020, after an early Address transferred 5000 BTC, Bitcoin experienced nearly a month of sideways movem

The chairman of the Federal Reserve (FED), Jerome Powell, clearly stated in his speech yesterday that there will be no interest rate cuts in July, and September may be a more appropriate time. He mentioned that if it weren't for the recent tariff policies introduced by the Trump administration exacerbating inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve (FED) might have started cutting interest rates back in June.
This statement has attracted widespread attention from the market, and Trump subsequently publicly criticized Powell, even threatening to replace the Chairman of The Federal Reserve (FED

Despite the approval of the Bitcoin ETF making it easier for institutional funds to enter the market, the SEC's regulatory attitude towards alts remains unclear, and many funds are hesitant to place bets easily. This round of the bull run focuses more on "value narratives" rather than pure concept speculation.
Projects with practical application scenarios, such as AI, DePIN, and RWA, are more favored by funding, while pure meme coins or altcoins lacking fundamentals are neglected.
Large funds are more willing to allocate Bitcoin and a few leading alts, while projects with small and medium mark

There are several reasons behind this: although the approval of the Bitcoin ETF makes it easier for institutional funds to enter the market, the SEC's regulatory stance on alts remains unclear, and many funds are hesitant to place bets.
This round of the bull market focuses more on "value narratives" rather than pure conceptual speculation. Projects with practical application scenarios, such as AI, DePIN, and RWA, are more favored by funds, while pure meme coins or altcoins lacking fundamentals are neglected.
Large funds are more willing to allocate to Bitcoin and a few leading alts, while sma

Bitcoin has performed relatively steadily, currently oscillating around $107,000. However, upon closer inspection, it has merely returned to the levels of June 17, while the Nasdaq index has already reached historical highs. From a long-term trend perspective, Bitcoin and the Nasdaq index are generally synchronized in direction. If the Nasdaq index continues to surge, Bitcoin may challenge the key resistance level of $110,000.
But the problem is that this round of Bitcoin's rise is a low-volume increase—there is not much capital inflow, and the market is quiet, indicating that investors are st

Summary: Be cautious of pullback risks in the short term. Overall, the decline in small-cap stocks in the US and the low-volume rise of Bitcoin both indicate a decrease in market risk appetite. Although Bitcoin remains strong, the lack of incremental capital support makes the short-term pullback risk significant. There are two key variables to watch next:
Geopolitics: If the situation in the Middle East worsens, it may trigger market fluctuations. US stock trends: If the Nasdaq continues to hit new highs, Bitcoin may rise as well, but if US stocks pull back, the crypto market will also struggl

#鲍威尔发言# The underlying logic of BTC: funds and emotions dominate the next phase of the Federal Reserve meeting. After the market's short-term uncertainty is temporarily lifted, BTC's trend has not exploded as a result. The reason is: short-term funds are still in wait-and-see mode: geopolitical risks have replaced interest rate policies as the core variable influencing short-term fund behavior. Chip distribution shows divergence: strong support below, but increasing pressure above, indicating that the market still lacks consensus on "breaking the previous high." The liquidity environment remai

Last week, the cryptocurrency market experienced a rollercoaster行情. Bitcoin first saw a strong pump, quickly surging, but the good times didn't last long. In the early hours of the 12th, U.S. stocks suddenly大跌, dragging the cryptocurrency market down with it.
#Michael Saylor暗示增持BTC# later learned that the situation in the Middle East had changed abruptly, the war had started, and the U.S. stock market had dived first, and the currency market had followed suit. It can be said that it is difficult for the current crypto market to "stand alone", no longer have an independent market as before, and

#现货比特币ETF持仓破110万枚# ETH is rising strongly, and alts are following the trend. Ethereum's recent performance has been impressive, as its price not only broke through key resistance levels but also drove ecosystem projects like SOL, LDO, and OP to rise.
There are several important tailwinds behind this rally: ETF funds continue to flow in: Ethereum spot ETF fund inflows have steadily increased, with a net inflow of $125 million last night, and the market's long-term confidence in ETH is growing. Relaxation of staking regulations: The SEC has loosened its attitude towards ETH staking, and may even

#现货比特币ETF持仓破110万枚#
Sino-US peace talks "God assists", institutions frantically sweep bitcoin This time, the core driving force of Bitcoin's surge is the crazy buying of institutional whales, which is completely different from the previous bull market dominated by retail investors.
Last night, the Bitcoin ETF flowed nearly $400 million in a single day, the Ethereum ETF also attracted $52 million, and BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF broke through the scale of $70 billion at an astonishing speed, crushing the record of gold ETFs! The micro-strategy is more ruthless, directly throwing money to buy 1,045 b

June 19 Federal Reserve decision: market sentiment may be at an inflection point after the policy is implemented. Tariff war dynamics: If it escalates, safe-haven assets (e.g., gold, bitcoin) may fall first and then rise. Batch layout: The bullish cycle remains unchanged, refuses to panic after the crash, and dares to pick up chips at key support levels (such as BTC 92,000 and ETH 2200). Remember: a pullback in a bull market is for a higher rise. When the majority fears, opportunities are brewing

#BTC行情分析# 6 crypto market started weakly, Bitcoin ended a weekly 7-day streak, Ethereum was under pressure at key support levels, and the overall market entered a correction stage. June tends to be a "summer downturn" for traditional financial markets, and a contraction in liquidity can exacerbate volatility. But the peculiarity of June this year lies in two major events: the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 2 a.m. on June 19, and the potential recurrence of policies such as Trump's tariff war. These two variables will be key catalysts for the market this month.

#BTC行情分析#
1. From the perspective of Bitcoin's chip distribution looking at the pullback position, the chips are relatively concentrated in the A range of 100,000-105,000 USD, so this is considered the first support range for Bitcoin. Here, the short-term Bitcoin price of 101,500 USD is an important support level, while the 100,000 round figure serves as a psychological support level.
2. Another range B is the one with the most chips, where the Bitcoin price is between 93000-98000 USD. This area is basically where strong support has been built, and the support here is the strongest. This regio

#BTC行情分析# Next, focus on three things this weekend Liquidity Trap: under low Trading Volume, any slight movement will amplify Fluctuation;
Trump's mouth VS the Fed's knife: If the tariff war escalates, Powell may be forced to cut interest rates early to save the market;
1.02 million defense battle: hold on, the trend is not broken; if it cannot be held, bear market sentiment will spread.
Final reminder: Trump's "uncertainty" has become the market's biggest poison, but opportunities often arise after a sharp decline. As mentioned before — a bull market is not a straight shot to the top, but rat

Today, Bitcoin suddenly fell to $104,727, just $70 away from James's liquidation line! To protect himself, he was forced to Cut Loss and reduce position by 949 BTC, incurring a loss of over $3.22 million, but then the market experienced another Long Wick Candle, and his position was again liquidated by 95.5 BTC.
Currently, James's long position has shrunk to 167 million USD, with an opening price of as high as 107,993 USD. If the coin price falls below 104,530 USD, he will face "complete loss." The market is this cruel; making clear trades is just to get you! You might think you are the chosen

Where might the turning point be? If historical patterns still hold, the turning point of this market cycle may occur under the following circumstances: for example, the market's anticipation of the "Federal encryption regulatory framework" has not been realized, or The Federal Reserve (FED) sends hawkish signals. If Bitcoin repeatedly fails to break through $120,000, it may trigger the collective liquidation of profitable positions.
To untie the bell, one must find the person who tied it — since this round of market activity is driven by American funds, its conclusion is likely to be determin

Narrative fatigue: Lack of "breakthrough-level" innovation. The 2021 altcoin bull run relied on narratives like Decentralized Finance, NFT, and GameFi, but this cycle has yet to see new stories of the same magnitude. AI + Blockchain, although heavily hyped, has limited practical applications and remains more in the conceptual stage. The proliferation of meme coins is rampant; among the 870,000 meme coins on the Solana blockchain, 97% survive for less than 30 days, with rapid capital consumption and liquidity depletion. The growth rate of the Ethereum and Solana ecosystems is slowing down, lack

#比特币2025大会# Whether Bitcoin can break new highs again depends on three factors:
Macroeconomic policy coordination: The realization of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations and the substantial easing of Trump's tariff threats need to form a synergy.
Market confidence restoration: The stability of long-term holders' positions and the return of main funds need to be reflected simultaneously.
Geopolitical risks are manageable: Positive signals should be released during the US-EU negotiations before July 9 to avoid black swan impacts. The current market long-short ratio has dropped t