Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Tuesday, July 15, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀️ hardcore fan daily attendance 👍 Like and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones up 0.2%, the Nasdaq up 0.27%, and the S&P 500 up 0.14%. Tesla (TSLA.O) rose 1%, Apple (AAPL.O) fell 1.2%, and Micron Technology (MU.O) dropped 4.7%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed up 0.73%, and NIO (NIO.N) increased by 7%. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 94.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 5.2%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in September is 36.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 60.0%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 3.2%. "Crypto Week" is boosting market sentiment, with Bitcoin hitting a new historical high on Monday. This week, the U.S. will welcome "Crypto Week", planning to review three key pieces of cryptocurrency legislation, including the CLARITY Act and the GENIUS Act. Driven by this news, Bitcoin surged intraday, reaching $123,000, with a daily increase of over 4%, setting a new historical high. In the evening, Bitcoin and Ethereum repeatedly contested around 120,000 and 3,000 points respectively, with trading volume in a shrinking state. The Nasdaq set a new closing record, while Trump threatened over the weekend to impose high tariffs on more G companies, but investors bet that these tariffs would eventually be reduced through negotiations. The European Union is preparing to impose counter tariffs on $72 billion worth of U.S. goods. This week, the market will also focus on the second quarter earnings reports of U.S. listed companies and the release of CPI data.

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After Bitcoin reached a high of 123300 yesterday, it has started to show a continuous downward trend. However, such a pullback is also considered a normal phenomenon in the market. It presents a震荡 pattern after hitting a peak. The hourly chart shows a ladder-like upward structure, and although it has attempted multiple times to break through the previous high, it is constrained by resistance levels, with support levels showing a gradual upward trend. In the evening, the price stabilized and rebounded after testing the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the support below is effective and that bullish momentum has not been fully released. The candlestick pattern shows that the short-term head characteristics have completed volume release, and there is a demand for upward correction in the follow-up.

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After Ethereum retraced to the 2950 position early yesterday morning, the market broke through and moved upward, with a high-level breakthrough near the 3080 resistance, followed by a pullback. Currently, both bulls and bears are in a stalemate, and the market correction has entered a high-level consolidation phase, with prices fluctuating above 3000. However, the daily upward trajectory is good, and if the price stabilizes at the 3000 position, it is expected to rise further and approach the 3100 level again. The short-term support below is focused on the 2980 line. Currently at a critical position, we need to wait for a period of K-line to confirm whether it is a "pullback rebound" or "breaking the range, looking again at the lower boundary of 2920."

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Ethereum slightly rebounded to a high of 3008 before facing pressure and falling back, touching a low of 2935 before rebounding. From the current market perspective, the bullish momentum has somewhat slowed down, and the market has entered a period of consolidation after a one-sided stretch, which is a necessary phase to go through. Although the bullish momentum on the four-hour level has been interrupted, the pullback is very limited, and it clearly does not constitute a trend reversal. Looking at the daily level, the moving averages are in a bullish arrangement. Although the K-line has a relatively long upper shadow and trading volume has slightly decreased compared to yesterday, the overall market performance remains strong. It is expected that the weekend market will challenge new highs again with a fluctuating upward posture, and in terms of operations, continue to selectively go long at low positions.