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The inflation data to be released tonight has sparked widespread follow in the market. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual rate is expected to be 2.7%, an increase compared to the previous value of 2.4%. The core CPI annual rate is expected to be 3.0%, up from the previous value of 2.8%. However, experts' predictions seem to differ slightly from official expectations. Cleveland and Nick both predict the CPI annual rate to be 2.6% and the core CPI annual rate to be 2.9%, slightly lower than official expectations.
These slight differences may suggest that there will be minor adjustments made to the official data when it is released. The month-on-month rate data also shows a similar situation, with the official expectations for CPI and core CPI month-on-month rates both at 0.3%, while the previous values were both at 0.1%. Cleveland predicts the CPI month-on-month rate to be 0.25% and the core CPI month-on-month rate to be 0.23%. Nick's predictions are slightly higher, at 0.27% and 0.25%, respectively.
These subtle differences reflect the complexity and uncertainty of economic forecasts. Investors and analysts will closely follow tonight to see whether the actual data matches expectations or if there will be surprises. This data has significant implications for financial markets and economic policy-making, so any slight changes could trigger market reactions.