Bitcoin's dominance is facing a critical turning point, is the alts season about to begin?

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) could usher in a major change in the market after experiencing a sharp pullback from the key TSDT resistance level. Analysts are keeping a close eye on this technical signal to confirm whether there will be a new altcoin season that could explode like 2021.

The Bitcoin dominance chart shows the resurgence of the altcoin season in 2021.

Market expert Tony Severino pointed out in his latest crypto analysis published on social media X on July 15 that Bitcoin's dominance has once again faced strong rejection at the key TSDT resistance area (around 65%). This technical resistance triggered capital to flow from Bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies in early 2021, sparking the famous altcoin season.

!

Since mid-2022, Bitcoin's dominance has steadily climbed, facing rejection after approaching a high of nearly 65% in July 2025. Severino pointed out that this behavior is similar to the price trend from late 2020 to early 2021, when Bitcoin's dominance also reached this range and quickly pulled back, leading to a explosive rise in alts.

Currently, Severino's chart shows that Bitcoin's dominance is around 64.07%, close to the 63.83% TSDT resistance level, and has formed a significant candlestick pattern after a strong rally. Analysts indicate that if history repeats itself, it could lead to capital flowing into the altcoin market, thereby igniting the next altcoin season.

Is the altcoin super cycle about to arrive?

Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader also shared his views on the potential explosive altcoin season in this bull market. He mentioned on social media platform X that the historical pattern between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin's dominance is repeating, suggesting the start of a new altcoin super cycle.

According to his chart, since 2016, after DXY's three major bull traps, BTC. D's have declined significantly, and the altcoin market has rebounded strongly. Analysts believe that the current market structure suggests that bitcoin dominance may fall again. If history repeats itself, it would mean a weaker dollar, less Bitcoin dominance, and altcoins likely to outperform significantly in the coming months.

Summary

Bitcoin's dominance is facing critical technical resistance, which may signal the impending arrival of altcoin season. If historical patterns repeat, the potential for capital to flow into the altcoin market will increase significantly. Investors should follow the further changes of BTC.D to determine whether to enter a new altcoin super cycle.