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BTC.D Reached 63% — Is the Altseason Activation Point Approaching?
The cryptocurrency market has just witnessed a strong bullish trend, pushing the total market capitalization to 1.45 trillion USD, sparking many discussions around the potential upcoming altseason. According to a post on July 19 by analyst PlanD on the X platform, there are three key signals to follow to confirm when the altseason officially begins: Bitcoin adjusts price after reaching a peak, Ethereum drops to support zone, Technical structural changes in Bitcoin's dominance index (BTC.D). 📉 Bitcoin & Ethereum Adjustment — First Signal PlanD believes that healthy corrections of Bitcoin and Ethereum after a hot rising cycle are prerequisites to trigger capital flows into alts. Specifically, he expects BTC to adjust from $121,000 to the support zone of $111,000, while ETH may drop from $3,400 to around $3,250. Although it sounds negative, these corrections are not a sign of weakness, but rather a time for capital reallocation. When Ethereum maintains support around $3,250, the ETH/BTC pair may start to increase again – a very important indicator signaling that capital is shifting from BTC to alts. 📊 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) — Market Structure Break Point The third signal, which is also crucial for confirming the altseason, is the movement of BTC.D — the dominance ratio of Bitcoin compared to the entire crypto market. PlanD notes that BTC.D has broken through a multi-month upward trend line, indicating a significant change in market structure. The next support level is the area of 63.40% – if BTC.D cannot bounce back from this area, the market may witness a further decline in BTC's dominance ratio, opening up significant opportunities for altcoins to accelerate. 🚀 Which Altcoins Will Lead the Next Wave? In the explosive altseason scenario, PlanD believes that sectors with real potential will lead the market, including: Real World Assets (Real World Assets - RWA) Artificial Intelligence (AI)GameFi & Web3 Gaming
Tokens in the above categories – especially projects outside the large-cap group – can experience explosive growth as capital seeks new opportunities. 📈 Current Market Index: Is Opportunity on the Rise? ✅ Fear & Greed Index (: 69 – Indicates that investor sentiment is positive, leaning towards risk acceptance. ✅ Altseason Index: 42 – Although it is not at its peak yet, it is gradually increasing, reflecting the increasingly clear trend of capital spreading to alts. 🎯 Summary With BTC.D testing the important support area of 63%, while Ethereum is likely to hold the $3,250 level and ETH/BTC is rallying, a real altseason is forming. Investors Need to Note: Follow closely ETH/BTC – this is the "momentum" indicator for alts. Observe the reaction of BTC.D at the 63% level – if it breaks, a strong wave of altcoins could be initiated. Prioritize sectors with practical applications and long-term potential, such as AI, RWA, and GameFi. ⏳ Altseason does not happen frequently – but when it does, it can create breakthroughs beyond expectations for those who are prepared.