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The White House recently released a striking message, hinting that Fed Chairman Powell might continue to serve. This statement has sparked widespread follow in the market, containing multiple layers of meaning.
First of all, this news helps stabilize the market's expectations for the continuity of monetary policy. Powell's potential reappointment could make the pace of interest rate hikes and cuts more predictable, which may have a positive impact on the U.S. stock market, bond market, and expectations for dollar liquidity.
Secondly, this statement reflects complex political trade-offs. Directly removing Powell from office may touch on the sensitive topic of central bank independence, triggering public backlash. The White House's choice to make an early statement seems to be seeking a balance between "pressuring the Fed" and "maintaining a political image."
However, this does not mean that the game between policymakers and political forces has ended. Even if Powell remains in office, politicians may still seek to influence the Fed's decisions through various channels, such as publicly criticizing high interest rate policies. In the future, the tug-of-war between monetary policy and political demands may continue.
Overall, this message conveys a strategy of "superficial stability maintenance and covert games." In the short term, it may soothe market sentiment, but in the long run, the interactive game between monetary policy and political power has just begun. The development of this complex situation will continue to affect the nerves of the global financial market and is worth ongoing attention.