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After 4700, the three possible paths for ETH and the four key checkpoints
ETH broke through 4700 USD, making people feel as if they were back at the "national carnival" scene during the last bull market peak. But history always likes to test the same person with different scripts, and this time there may be three paths:
1. Directly hitting the script: driven by both funds and emotions, directly reaching 5000 or even 5200.
2. Pullback confirmation: first drop to around 4500 to test support, then a second rise.
3. Luring and counter-killing: After rushing to around 4800, it drops back to 4300, washing out a wave of chasing high positions.
Multi-Point Strategy Analysis:
* Short-term support: 4520—4550, stabilizing here provides a chance for a second upward attack.
* Key defense: 4300, if the trend cannot be maintained, it will weaken.
* Resistance level: 4800, only dare to call for a rise to 5000 after breaking through.
* Ultimate Threshold: 5000, psychological resistance at integer levels + technical resistance.
The incremental capital from ETFs and the entry of institutions support the medium-term trend, but a rapid short-term rise can easily trigger arbitrage. The RSI is approaching the overbought zone, indicating that a technical cooldown could happen at any time.
Operation Suggestions: Conservative investors should wait for a pullback around 4500 to position; aggressive investors should chase after a breakout at 4800, with a stop loss at 4720; medium to long-term investors should hold in batches, targeting above 5200.
Remember, in a bull market, it's not about being slow, it's about not having patience.