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Zuckerberg and Musk have an offline duel, and the core difference is still because of the "Metaverse"
Source: VRAR Planet
Author: Doflamingo
Original title: "Really want to fight? Zuckerberg and Musk have an offline duel bookmaker has issued odds »
Recently, the foreign Internet circles are very lively. Zuckerberg, who is in the metaverse, wants to have a "cage fight" with Musk, who is engaged in the real economy, which has attracted the attention of many people who eat melons. In the spirit of watching the excitement without taking too much trouble, this issue of Sharp Review discusses it.
01. Superficial reasons for the appointment
IBC Group founder and CEO Mario Nefar wrote on Twitter that Meta is developing a social media platform called "Threads" to compete with Twitter. Musk commented on the content of the post, saying that "the earth can't wait to be completely controlled by Zuckerberg, there is no other choice."
On the surface, the reason Musk made an appointment with Zuckerberg was that Meta wanted to develop a competitor to Twitter and snatch users and advertising resources from it. From a deeper perspective, there are other reasons.
02. The real reason for the appointment
In 2021, the metaverse will be on fire. People have different views on what is metaverse, the so-called "a thousand readers have a thousand Hamlets". Among them, Zuckerberg’s understanding of the metaverse is:
**It is a virtual world, and it will be an expandable, extensible, and interactive platform where users can play different roles, conduct various experiences, interact with other users, and create unlimited possibility. Metaverse can not only provide social and entertainment functions, but also bring changes to business, education, medical care and other fields, allowing people to explore, try, and learn more freely. The emergence of the metaverse will be an important step in human history, and it will be the beginning of a brand new Internet era. **
**Although Zuckerberg made great efforts to develop the metaverse, the effect was not satisfactory. **According to statistics, Meta’s Reality Lab, which is responsible for building the metaverse, lost nearly 14 billion U.S. dollars last year, and is expected to continue to lose 15 billion U.S. dollars and 20 billion U.S. dollars this year and next year. Meta will cut more than 10,000 jobs this year, after cutting 11,000 last year.
There is a general consensus in the technology circle: the relatively rough and crude metaverse world can basically be realized within 10 years; the more vivid and detailed metaverse world will take 30 years to polish; Experience the cool Metaverse, impossible without 50 years.
**Based on this, Musk scoffed at Zuckerberg's "Metaverse". **In 2021, Zuckerberg stated that Meta will become the leader of the Metaverse, but Musk mocked on Twitter that Meta sounds like a "demon sect." Musk also bombarded Zuckerberg’s metaverse:
**I don't believe people are going to ditch the physical world and replace it with a virtual world, who would strap a "damn" screen to their face all day long! Musk's words are not unreasonable. The metaverse cannot replace the physical world. It is not realistic to live in the virtual world with VR glasses all day long, but it is possible to spend an hour or two every day playing in the virtual world. **
Although brain-computer interfaces are still in their early stages, their potential in the future metaverse cannot be ignored. At the end of May, Neuralink, a brain-mouth interface company owned by Musk, announced that the first human clinical trial was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration. This also means that the brain-computer interface has taken another big step forward on the road to the metaverse.
And Zuckerberg felt that VR was the entrance to the metaverse, so he spent a lot of money to subsidize the Quest series of VR hardware. It also launched a high-end VR headset last year, Quest Pro, and released Quest 3 this year before Apple released Vision Pro. In terms of VR software ecology, Chris Pruett, content ecology director of Meta Reality Lab, shared his findings at GDC. At present, the total revenue of the Quest store has exceeded US$1 billion, making it one of the best VR software ecosystems on the market.
**Except for the metaverse, Musk and Zuckerberg have differences. The different attitudes towards AI are also factors for the two parties to make an appointment. **
Musk said: "I have seen the most advanced AI technology with my own eyes. It is the greatest threat to the survival of human civilization. We should really worry about it." In March this year, he also signed an open letter calling for a moratorium on the development of advanced artificial intelligence. By May, Musk's attitude towards AI had changed. He said artificial intelligence has the potential to control humans. It is highly unlikely that it will destroy humanity, but it is not impossible. Musk also said that it is also possible for AI to take over control of "all human security," effectively becoming a sort of "super nanny."
03, written at the end
In the field of metaverse and AI, Zuckerberg and Musk have different ideas, so it is easy to "make an appointment if there is a disagreement". If the appointment goes through, who will win? DraftKings, a well-known American sports betting company, believes that Zuckerberg has a better chance of winning, After all, Zuckerberg is only 39 years old this year, while Musk is 51 years old. DraftKings' odds for Zuckerberg and Musk are -160 and +140, respectively.
Generally speaking, the winning rate and the odds are negatively correlated, the higher the winning rate, the lower the odds, and the lower the winning rate, the higher the odds. Oddspedia, a sports betting platform, calculated based on the odds of multiple gaming companies that Zuckerberg has an 83% chance of winning, so he is more optimistic about Zuckerberg's victory.
** Considering that Apple CEO Cook also looks down on Zuckerberg's Metaverse. ** In an interview with the media last year, Cook talked about his views on the metaverse. Cook said: "I always think that it is important for people to understand what something is. I'm not sure that ordinary people can tell what the metaverse is. .”