TONUSDT technical analysis on timeframes

CryptoNAI · 2025-03-16T01:06:21+00:00

1. Identify the main trend of the marketPrice position vs EMA:Above 1H, 4H: The current price is above EMAs 7, 25, 99 → Short-term Uptrend.Above 1D: The price has just broken out of EMA 25 but is still below EMA 99 → The trend is showing signs of reversal.Above 1W: The price remains below EMA 25 and EMA 99 → The long-term trend remains bearish.Compare trends between timeframes:In the short term (1H, 4H) is in a strong uptrend.The medium-term (1D) is in the midst of a trend transition.Long-term (1W) remain a downtrend.→ Conflict between short-term and long-term timeframes, further confirmation is needed.Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCH):1H, 4H: There is a clear increase in BOS, the price breaks the nearest resistance.1D: In the post-BOS retest phase, if it holds firmly above this zone, it can confirm a reversal.1W: No BOS increase yet, still in a long-term downtrend.Market momentum (OBV, MFI):OBV and MFI on 1H, 4H are rising sharply → Confirming inflows to support the uptrend.OBV on 1D, 1W has not yet confirmed a strong uptrend, further monitoring is needed.Open Interest (OI):There is no data showing OI yet, but trading volumes have risen sharply → may be attracting large inflows of money into the market.2. Identify important support & resistance zonesStrong support zone:$3.26 - $3.30: Nearest support on 1H, 4H.$2.90 - $3.00: The support zone is stronger if the price corrects deeply.$2.35: The most important support in the long-term trend.Strong resistance zone:$3.64 - $3.70: Nearest peak above 1H, 4H.$4.20 – $4.30: Resistance is stronger if the price continues to rise.Fibonacci Retracement:The price is reacting near the 50% - 61.8% Fib level of the previous downtrend → This is an important area to confirm whether the price will continue to rise.Liquidity grab signs:The price may have swept the stop loss at the $2.90 zone before bouncing sharply → the smart money signal.3. Candlestick Pattern Analysis and Price ActionReversal pattern:Bullish Engulfing candlestick appears on 1H, 4H → Confirm the dominant buyers.Above 1D, a Morning Star can form if it holds above $3.30.Fakeout signs, price traps:If the price fails to hold above $3.30, it could be a bull trap, which needs to wait for further confirmation.4. Analyze technical indicators to confirm signalsMACD:1H, 4H: MACD is positive, histogram increases → Strong uptrend.1D: A bullish crossover is underway but needs to wait for further confirmation.1W: Still in the negative zone.RSI:1H, 4H: RSI near overbought zone (70) → Carefully adjust.1D: RSI started to recover but is not overbought yet.Bollinger Bands:The price touches the upper border on 1H, 4H → A short-term correction is possible before resuming the trend.OBV & MFI:Confirm strong buying, support the uptrend.5. Smart Money Concept Analysis (SMC)Order Block (OB):The price is reacting at the nearest OB on 1H, 4H.It is worth seeing if the price of retesting OB on 1D ($3.30 - $3.35).Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCH):BOS happened on 1H, 4H.It is necessary to monitor the reaction on 1D to confirm the new trend.6. Determine the market stage according to the Wyckoff Method1H, 4H: In the Markup phase (tăng the price of mạnh).1D: May be switching from Accumulation (tích lũy) → Markup.1W: Still in Markdown (giảm long hạn) price.7. Propose a trading strategy✅ If BTC continues to rise:Entry point: Wait for the price to retest the $3.30 - $3.35 zone or EMA 25 on 1H, 4H.Stop Loss: Below $3.20 or the nearest Order Block.Target: $3.64 - $3.70, beyond $4.20.✅ If BTC weakens or the market corrects:Short if the price fails to hold above $3.30.SL above $3.70, TP about $3.00 - $2.90.✅ If the market sideway:Trade in a range of $3.30 - $3.64 or wait for a breakout.Confirm the breakout with Volume and Delta Volume.✅ If there is a fakeout at resistance/support:Wait for confirmation from candlestick and volume before re-entry.

CryptoNAI

2025-03-16 01:06:21

Identify the main trend of the market Price position vs EMA: Above 1H, 4H: The current price is above EMAs 7, 25, 99 → Short-term Uptrend. Above 1D: The price has just broken out of EMA 25 but is still below EMA 99 → The trend is showing signs of reversal. Above 1W: The price remains below EMA 25 and EMA 99 → The long-term trend remains bearish. Compare trends between timeframes: In the short term (1H, 4H) is in a strong uptrend. The medium-term (1D) is in the midst of a trend transition. Long-term (1W) remain a downtrend. → Conflict between short-term and long-term timeframes, further confirmation is needed. Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCH): 1H, 4H: There is a clear increase in BOS, the price breaks the nearest resistance. 1D: In the post-BOS retest phase, if it holds firmly above this zone, it can confirm a reversal. 1W: No BOS increase yet, still in a long-term downtrend. Market momentum (OBV, MFI): OBV and MFI on 1H, 4H are rising sharply → Confirming inflows to support the uptrend. OBV on 1D, 1W has not yet confirmed a strong uptrend, further monitoring is needed. Open Interest (OI): There is no data showing OI yet, but trading volumes have risen sharply → may be attracting large inflows of money into the market.
Identify important support & resistance zones Strong support zone: $3.26 - $3.30: Nearest support on 1H, 4H. $2.90 - $3.00: The support zone is stronger if the price corrects deeply. $2.35: The most important support in the long-term trend. Strong resistance zone: $3.64 - $3.70: Nearest peak above 1H, 4H. $4.20 – $4.30: Resistance is stronger if the price continues to rise. Fibonacci Retracement: The price is reacting near the 50% - 61.8% Fib level of the previous downtrend → This is an important area to confirm whether the price will continue to rise. Liquidity grab signs: The price may have swept the stop loss at the $2.90 zone before bouncing sharply → the smart money signal.
Candlestick Pattern Analysis and Price Action Reversal pattern: Bullish Engulfing candlestick appears on 1H, 4H → Confirm the dominant buyers. Above 1D, a Morning Star can form if it holds above $3.30. Fakeout signs, price traps: If the price fails to hold above $3.30, it could be a bull trap, which needs to wait for further confirmation.
Analyze technical indicators to confirm signals MACD: 1H, 4H: MACD is positive, histogram increases → Strong uptrend. 1D: A bullish crossover is underway but needs to wait for further confirmation. 1W: Still in the negative zone. RSI: 1H, 4H: RSI near overbought zone (70) → Carefully adjust. 1D: RSI started to recover but is not overbought yet. Bollinger Bands: The price touches the upper border on 1H, 4H → A short-term correction is possible before resuming the trend. OBV & MFI: Confirm strong buying, support the uptrend.
Smart Money Concept Analysis (SMC) Order Block (OB): The price is reacting at the nearest OB on 1H, 4H. It is worth seeing if the price of retesting OB on 1D ($3.30 - $3.35). Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCH): BOS happened on 1H, 4H. It is necessary to monitor the reaction on 1D to confirm the new trend.
Determine the market stage according to the Wyckoff Method 1H, 4H: In the Markup phase (tăng the price of mạnh). 1D: May be switching from Accumulation (tích lũy) → Markup. 1W: Still in Markdown (giảm long hạn) price.
Propose a trading strategy ✅ If BTC continues to rise: Entry point: Wait for the price to retest the $3.30 - $3.35 zone or EMA 25 on 1H, 4H. Stop Loss: Below $3.20 or the nearest Order Block. Target: $3.64 - $3.70, beyond $4.20. ✅ If BTC weakens or the market corrects: Short if the price fails to hold above $3.30. SL above $3.70, TP about $3.00 - $2.90. ✅ If the market sideway: Trade in a range of $3.30 - $3.64 or wait for a breakout. Confirm the breakout with Volume and Delta Volume. ✅ If there is a fakeout at resistance/support: Wait for confirmation from candlestick and volume before re-entry.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

Reward
like
Comment
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

No comments

Topic
#Gate Initial Global Listing YZY
17k Popularity
#Crypto Market Rebound
192k Popularity
#FOMC July Minutes
17k Popularity
#Gate Alpha ESPORTS Points Airdrop
14k Popularity
#Crypto-Related xStocks Rally
3k Popularity

Sitemap