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95% of Crypto Investors Are Being 'Betrayed' by Mathematics – The Secret Behind the Unpredictable Loss Trap
When buying an asset for $200 and the price falls by 50%, the new price is only $100. To recover to the original level of $200, the asset needs to increase by 100% from the new price – that is, it must double. This illustrates a harsh reality of mathematics: a percentage decrease cannot be remedied by the same rate of increase, but requires exceptional growth. For cryptocurrencies, the figures are even more alarming. A coin that falls from $200 to $40 ( falls by 80% ) will need to increase by 400% to return to its original price. As a result, many investors fall into a "loss trap" as the recovery journey becomes nearly impossible. The basic calculations explain why up to 95% of investors in the crypto market are facing losses. Most of them bought in during the hype explosion before the market collapsed, and now only a "parabolic blow-off" can salvage the situation. Even investors who bought in during the recent corrections can only hope for unusual recovery conditions. Even in the face of a major global event, such as the return of a reputable political figure, investor confidence is only temporarily boosted. The cryptocurrency market has nearly collapsed even under favorable conditions. If the global economic situation worsens – with forecasts of recession and a severe decline in liquidity – the crypto market may face one of its toughest challenges. The reality is that, despite a few small signs of recovery, most altcoins have not regained more than 15% of their lost value. Another concerning issue is the trend of price movement in groups. Many crypto markets have witnessed coins simultaneously experiencing significant bearish trends, with hundreds of coins dropping in the same chart pattern. This suggests a high level of market manipulation, as institutional investors – who were expected to bring transparency and stability – are instead playing a role in creating market volatility at their will. The space that was once considered decentralized now seems to be controlled by a few "big players" capable of manipulating prices. Strategies for Investors With the market context becoming extremely uncertain, the optimal strategy for investors is to be cautious and flexible. Some useful tips include: Take profits early: Even if you only achieve a small profit, consider selling to preserve capital. Avoid long-term "holding": Do not hope for a miraculous recovery in the distant future, as the market may continue to fluctuate significantly. Conduct thorough fundamental research: Investments should be based on solid fundamentals rather than just following trends or crowd psychology. Conclusion The cryptocurrency market is currently witnessing strong fluctuations and undeniable manipulation. From the unbelievable numbers of percentage increases and decreases to the complex interactions between global economic factors, it is not surprising that up to 95% of investors are facing losses. In this context, applying cautious strategies, taking profits early, and investing based on solid foundations becomes extremely necessary. While the market may still present opportunities for those who buy at the right time, the majority of risks and volatility make the recovery journey extremely difficult and unpredictable.