HBAR Price Prediction: Whales Accelerate Coin Hoarding, Is a 27% Pump on the Horizon?

Whale Accelerates Accumulation: Holdings Proportion Hits Recent Highs

According to the Hedera Whale Tracker data, the addresses holding over $10 million in HBAR saw their Holdings percentage rapidly increase from 81.72% to 87.56% between July 9 and 15, reaching the highest level in recent weeks. This sharp increase indicates:

  • High Confidence Buy: Large holders are betting on future price increases.

  • Chip Centralization: Whales may hold undisclosed positive information (such as ecological progress or institutional collaborations)

  • Liquidity Tightening: The reduction in trading volume on exchanges may amplify price fluctuations.

Capital Analysis: CMF Cooling Down May Welcome a Second Breakthrough

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator reached the overbought zone during HBAR's recent rise but has fallen back to the neutral range as of July 15.

  • Health Pullback: The price quickly recovered the $0.23 mark after correcting 9% intraday.
  • Momentum Signal: A CMF reset often accompanies a new round of breakthroughs, especially when Whales continue to increase their Holdings.
  • Key Support: $0.23 has become the dividing line for bulls and bears. If it falls below, it may test $0.19 (0.618 Fibonacci strong support).

Technical Outlook: Fibonacci Trend Points to 27% Increase

Currently, HBAR is trading above $0.23, and the technical aspects show the following characteristics:

Upward Target

  • First target at $0.29: Based on the trend Fibonacci extension calculation from the low in April 2025 to the high in May, the potential increase is 27%.
  • Breakthrough Condition: Must maintain the support level of $0.23 and CMF must re-enter the positive territory.

Risk Warning

  • Weakening Trend Signal: If it falls below $0.23, it may retest the strong support at $0.19.
  • Divergence Risk: If the price rises but Whale Holdings decrease, be wary of a bull trap.

Conclusion

HBAR has the potential to reach $0.29 in the short term, supported by both the accumulation by whales and technical recovery. For investors focusing on altcoin season trends and institutional-level blockchain projects, it is recommended to pay close attention:

  1. Changes in HBAR balance on the exchange (continuous outflows will reduce selling pressure)
  2. Latest developments in the Hedera ecosystem (such as CBDC collaborations, growth of DeFi protocols)
  3. Bitcoin Market Trend (If BTC breaks through key resistance, it will drive ALT to rise broadly)

(This analysis is for reference only, cryptocurrency investment carries high risks, please make decisions cautiously.)

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