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Political disputes trigger turbulence in the crypto market, Bitcoin falls nearly $100,000.
Market Turmoil: Political Disputes Trigger Crypto Assets Fluctuation
Recently, a public dispute in the political arena has triggered market fluctuations. This "social media war" stems from fundamental disagreements between two prominent figures regarding economic policy, particularly concerning economic legislation and tariff policies. One side advocates for reduced regulation, especially in the fields of Crypto Assets and artificial intelligence, while the other insists on trade protectionism. Although one of them has softened their tone recently, the market has suffered a heavy blow: the stock price of a well-known electric vehicle company plummeted by 14.26% to $284.7, with a single-day market value evaporation of $153 billion. It is estimated that this upheaval has led to a $27 billion decrease in the personal wealth of a tech entrepreneur, bringing it down to $388 billion. Meanwhile, the media technology group under another political figure also dropped by 8%, with the market value of the Meme coin they hold evaporating by about $1 billion.
The initial jobless claims released on Thursday unexpectedly soared to an eight-month high, pushing U.S. Treasury yields down to a nearly one-month low, prompting the market to move its first rate cut expectation from October to September. Although the Federal Reserve is highly likely to maintain interest rates this month, the upcoming non-farm payroll report could completely change the direction of interest rates. Under the dual pressure of high inflation and economic slowdown, a policy shift requires more data support. The interest rate swap market shows that the probability of a rate cut in September has surged to 90%, and the 50 basis points rate cut expected within the year has been fully priced in.
At the same time, the political changes in South Korea may bring new opportunities to the Crypto Assets market. The newly elected party candidates have vowed to position virtual assets as a key to national financial reform, promoting token securities legislation, legalizing virtual asset spot ETFs, building a Korean won-backed stablecoin system, and even guiding the allocation of the national pension fund, which is worth $884 billion, into Crypto Assets. However, some analysts have expressed concerns about the South Korean market, pointing out that the trust crisis caused by previous Crypto Assets collapse incidents and stringent compliance requirements will test the new government's ability to balance regulation and market vitality.
Bitcoin fell to around $100,000 this morning, near the support level of the 50-day moving average at $100,295. An analyst from a trading platform pointed out that if Friday's U.S. employment report shows a slowdown in the labor market, Bitcoin could rise to the range of $120,000 to $125,000; conversely, if the data is strong, the price may retreat to around $95,000. A capital company noted that the trades of call options expiring in September with a strike price of $130,000 show some investors still have expectations for the third quarter. Noted investor Tim Draper continues to maintain his prediction that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 this year, believing that trade agreements, the upcoming regulatory framework, and the development of Web3 applications will drive up Bitcoin's price. He pointed out that major banks are incorporating Bitcoin into their product systems, which will further promote the mainstream adoption of Bitcoin.
Ethereum fell below $2400 this morning. Crypto trader Eugene stated that he has gone long on ETH at the current price and set his stop-loss below the morning's low of $2380. Currently, ETH is re-testing the low of the medium-term range. However, Trend Research remains bullish on Ethereum, stating on the evening of June 5 that they purchased 61,000 bullish options for Ethereum, with strike prices of $3200 and $3400. It is reported that the transaction paid an option premium of over $2 million.
In the crypto market, political disputes have also given rise to some new Meme coins, with major related Meme coins all dropping by 10%. A whale on a trading platform, James Wynn, also became a victim of this dispute, as he was forcibly liquidated of 379 bitcoins at 1 AM. Subsequently, he chose to actively clear his remaining positions, resulting in a total loss of $2.9 million from this long position in bitcoin. It is worth noting that two weeks ago, Wynn had once made a profit of $87 million, whereas now his cumulative loss has reached $20.5 million, leaving only $700,000 in his account.
In addition, the stablecoin issuer Circle successfully entered the US market, with its stock price soaring nearly 170% on the first day of its IPO, reaching a peak of $103.75 during trading, far exceeding the issuance price of $31. This success will encourage more crypto companies to advance their listing plans, including several well-known exchanges and blockchain companies.
Key Data ( as of June 6, 13:00 )
ETF Flow ( as of June 5 )
Today's Outlook
Top 500 Market Cap Biggest Fluctuations Today: Ravencoin ( RVN ) increased by 36.77%, Central African Republic Meme ( CAR ) increased by 19.06%, Fartcoin ( FARTCOIN ) increased by 18.08%, Lagrange ( LA ) increased by 11.56%, Ultima ( ULTIMA ) increased by 9.36%.
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